An fito da bayanai yanzuta Hukumar Kula da Makamashi ta Tarayya (FERC) ta bayyana cewa hanyoyin samar da makamashi mai sabuntawa (rana, iska, biomass, geothermal, wutar lantarki) sun mamaye sabbin abubuwan kara karfin samar da wutar lantarki na Amurka a farkon rabin shekarar 2020, bisa ga wani bincike na yakin SUN DAY.
A hade, sun kai kashi 57.14% ko 7,859 MW na 13,753 MW na sabon karfin da aka kara a farkon rabin shekarar 2020.
Rahoton na FERC na baya-bayan nan na wata-wata na “Sabunta Kayayyakin Makamashi” (tare da bayanai har zuwa 30 ga Yuni, 2020) kuma ya bayyana cewa iskar gas ya kai kashi 42.67% (5,869 MW) na jimillar, tare da ƙaramin gudummawar ta kwal (20MW) da “sauran” kafofin ( 5MW) samar da ma'auni.Babu wani sabon karin karfin da aka samu ta man fetur, makamashin nukiliya ko makamashin geothermal tun farkon shekara.
Daga cikin 1,013 MW na sabon ƙarfin da aka ƙara a watan Yuni an samar da shi ta hanyar hasken rana (MW 609), iska (MW 380) da makamashin ruwa (MW 24).Waɗannan sun haɗa da aikin 300-MW Prospero Solar Project a gundumar Andrews, Texas da 121.9-MW Wagyu Solar Project a gundumar Brazoria.
Sabbin hanyoyin samar da makamashi a yanzu sun kai kashi 23.04% na jimlar yawan ƙarfin samar da wutar lantarki na ƙasar kuma suna ci gaba da faɗaɗa gubar su akan kwal (20.19%).Ƙarfin samar da iska da hasken rana a yanzu ya kai kashi 13.08% na jimillar ƙasar kuma hakan bai haɗa da hasken rana da aka rarraba (rufin) ba.
Shekaru biyar da suka gabata, FERC ta ba da rahoton cewa jimlar shigar da ƙarfin samar da makamashi mai sabuntawa shine kashi 17.27% na jimlar ƙasar tare da iska a 5.84% (yanzu 9.13%) da hasken rana a 1.08% (yanzu 3.95%).A cikin shekaru biyar da suka gabata, rabon iska na karfin samar da wutar lantarki a kasar ya karu da kusan kashi 60% yayin da na hasken rana ya ninka kusan sau hudu.
Idan aka kwatanta, a cikin watan Yunin 2015, kason kwal ya kai kashi 26.83% (yanzu 20.19%), makaman nukiliya ya kai kashi 9.2% (yanzu 8.68%) kuma mai ya kai kashi 3.87% (yanzu 3.29%).Iskar gas ya nuna duk wani ci gaba a tsakanin hanyoyin da ba za a iya sabuntawa ba, yana faɗaɗa a hankali daga kashi 42.66% shekaru biyar da suka gabata zuwa 44.63%.
Bugu da kari, bayanan FERC sun nuna cewa rabon sabbin hanyoyin samar da karfin yana kan hanyar da za ta karu sosai a cikin shekaru uku masu zuwa, nan da watan Yuni 2023. “Babban yuwuwar” kara karfin samar da iskar, da rage ritayar da aka yi tsammani, yana nuna hasashen karuwar adadin 27,226. MW yayin da ake hasashen hasken rana yana haɓaka da 26,748 MW.
Idan aka kwatanta, ci gaban yanar gizo na iskar gas zai zama megawatt 19,897 kawai.Don haka, ana hasashen iska da hasken rana ga kowannensu ya ba da aƙalla kashi uku na ƙarin sabbin ƙarfin samar da iskar gas fiye da na iskar gas a cikin shekaru uku masu zuwa.
Yayin da makamashin ruwa, geothermal, da biomass suma ana hasashen za su sami bunkasuwa (2,056MW, 178MW, da 113 MW bi da bi), ana hasashen karfin samar da kwal da mai zai ragu, da 22,398 MW da 4,359 MW bi da bi.FERC ta ba da rahoton cewa ba ta da wani sabon ƙarfin kwal a cikin bututun a cikin shekaru uku masu zuwa kuma kawai 4 MW na sabon ƙarfin tushen mai.An yi hasashen ƙarfin nukiliyar zai kasance da gaske ba zai canza ba, yana ƙara net na 2MW.
Gabaɗaya, haɗaɗɗun duk abubuwan da za a iya sabuntawa za su ƙara sama da 56.3 GW na sabon ƙarfin samar da wutar lantarki ga jimilar ƙasar nan da watan Yunin 2023 yayin da sabon ƙarfin da ake hasashen za a ƙara ta hanyar iskar gas, kwal, mai da makamashin nukiliya a haɗe zai ragu da gaske. 6.9 GW.
Idan waɗannan lambobi sun riƙe, a cikin shekaru uku masu zuwa, ƙarfin samar da makamashi mai sabuntawa ya kamata ya kasance cikin kwanciyar hankali fiye da kashi ɗaya cikin huɗu na yawan ƙarfin samar da wutar lantarki na ƙasar.
Rabon Sabuntawa zai iya zama mafi girma.A cikin shekaru daya da rabi da suka gabata, FERC na ta kara yawan hasashen makamashin da ake iya sabuntawa akai-akai a cikin rahotonta na “Kayan Kaya” na wata-wata.Misali, watanni shida da suka gabata a cikin rahotonta na Disamba na 2019, FERC ta yi hasashen ci gaba a cikin shekaru uku masu zuwa na 48,254 MW don sabbin hanyoyin samar da makamashi, 8,067 MW kasa da hasashenta na baya-bayan nan.
Ken Bossong, babban darektan yakin neman zaben SUN DAY ya ce "Yayin da rikicin coronavirus na duniya ya rage saurin karuwarsu, abubuwan sabuntawa, musamman iska da hasken rana, suna ci gaba da fadada kasonsu na karfin samar da wutar lantarki a kasar.""Kuma yayin da farashin wutar lantarki da aka sabunta-sabuwa da kuma ajiyar makamashi ke raguwa, wannan ci gaban yana da alama tabbas zai iya haɓaka."
Lokacin aikawa: Satumba-04-2020